THE UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLE AND THE BULLYING OF THE SCOTTISH ELECTORATE



A pernicious argument is now regularly mounted against democracy; it has appeared time and time again during the campaign for Scottish Independence, it has been used as an argument against an EU referendum and I am surprised that it has not yet, at least in this country, been used as an argument against a general election. The argument is that democracy creates ‘uncertainty.’ This usually refers to business decisions, to the financial markets, but can embrace matters as diverse as defence or pension payments. Some of these arguments are valid, but as anyone who has reached their mid-twenties can testify, life itself is uncertain, all choices involve risk. Elections and plebiscites are governed by the uncertainty principle, the laws of unintended consequences and unforeseen outcomes. This is a given. Now however we see this uncertainty as an argument against democracy itself.
This argument is made as much on the centre left as the right. Thus it goes that people should not be offered a vote on EU membership as it will create uncertainty and have a detrimental effect on investment. On the right such arguments are now made shamelessly. How irresponsible, they argued, of Ed Miliband to talk about Energy policy, which could only influence the energy companies to behave badly! Whilst big business now openly throws its weight around in the run up to a general election or, as we have seen this week, in the run up to the vote on Scottish independence.
That the Labour Party so gleefully embraced these threats as a boost for their support of the No vote deeply shames the party[1] and also provides a considerable hostage to fortune. How can they now argue for major changes to economic policy in the face of ‘independent’ reports and threats from the large corporations when they have so recently engaged with this assault on the democratic process?  
The legacy of this referendum campaign will live with us for a long time whichever way the vote goes, the engagement of the great mass of the Scottish electorate is something that should hearten any democrat. I hope they vote to stay within the Union. I also want that vote to be because this is what they freely choose, not because they have been bullied into it.


[1] John Reid cooing with delight like a baby having its tum tickled over Duetsche Bank’s seriously over the top warning about the impact of Scottish independence, - likening the effect to Weimar Germany,- turned the stomach.  

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